斯諾登事態發展

梁振英葉劉淑儀均改變口風說香港應依法處理斯諾登一事,不知他們是否看了山中的文章而做出改變。我相信不是,因爲他們的水平不會高到來閲讀本博。稍爲想想就知道,除了依法處理外,香港政府還能做什麽,官員還在可以說什麽呢?梁振英之前的迴避問題與葉劉淑儀的建議斯諾登離開香港其實都是無聊的蠢話。梁振英這樣(不)說,是因爲他人在美國,陣腳大亂,害怕得失美國佬。葉劉淑儀那樣說純粹是爲了耍威風。先說斯諾登「精密計算」過,然後說他可能不知道香港與美國的互助協議,用以顯示自己還要比他高一籌,但事實卻是讓人看到原來堂堂前保安局長是個保安白痴。兩者比較,要威的又要比陣腳大亂的要遜一籌。

報導指美國指控斯諾登早與中國政府有聯繫,並說︰「他就像在用一個很大的鏟子自掘墳墓。」報導也引述另一位「熟知內地軍事及情報人士」說:「除非斯諾登投奔中國,否則無可奈何。這全視乎斯諾登的態度。」呃…香港屬不屬於中國的地方?他來到香港,難道中國真的會乖乖坐著不動?香港進行引渡的時候,中國的特務機關不會來拿資料。一個正常的民主國家也會這樣做,在國内外都有龐大特務組織的中共有可能不這樣做?斯諾登可能是在自掘墳墓,但至少在這幾年間他會得到中國與香港的保護。或許幾年過後,世界局勢轉變,到時美國沒有能力在政治上做等價的交易向中國要回這號人物。現在說大話只會讓自己到時下不了臺。

曾任美國前國防部長中國事務顧問,現為本港科技大學副校長的翁以登分析:「北京短暫可能得益,但斯諾登匿港令事件變得複雜。」這有什麽複雜的地方?中方手上拿了一張好牌,又有一國兩制做掩護,它有大條道理慢慢玩這個遊戲。到斯諾登沒有剩餘價值,它就可以將他賣回去給美國。只要高興,它也可以給斯諾登政治庇護和政治難民的身份去顯示自己的「人權」與「正義」,主導權掌握在中國手中,對北京來説不可能有什麽不利之處。如果美國願意在某件事上妥協,以此要回斯諾登,那就是政治交易,北京可會賺一大筆。如果美國施壓,它就可以說要尊重香港的法律制度來搪塞,美國可以有什麽辦法?我看不到北京會面對什麽難題。真的出現什麽難題,它直接交人就可以了事,斬倉離場,根本就不可能會有損失。

我不明白爲何這件事情會讓這麽多人手足無措。在公開的場合上,除了「依法處理」之外根本就沒有其他可以再説的,你美國佬牛皮吹得再大,事情也就只能是這樣處理。暗地裏,各方當然又會展開一場不見得光的外交角力,這是間諜活動的本質,根本不用多說。臨危不亂,平常放在嘴上說是很容易,到面對重大事件(對香港來說這還說不上是危機)時不能冷靜用腦思考,就會將自己的無能完全暴露出來。

This entry was posted in World Politics, 政治與經濟 and tagged , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

8 則回應給 斯諾登事態發展

  1. Bill 說:

    There is nothing better than saying the matter will be dealt with according to the laws of HK. It will take a few years in the legal wrangle if Snowden resists the extradition proceeding in all sorts of ways. The Chief Executive in the end can refuse to give consent to send him back for all sorts of reasons too. Uncle Sam does not rush to institute the extradition proceeding too. It is possible for the US to persuade Snowden not to challenge the extradition proceeding and surrender himself voluntarily. The espionage allegation of Snowden is not only a diversion of focus by the US, it is also a stake to bargain with Snowden to water down the charge to exchange for his voluntary return.

    • 山中 說:

      Well, there is nothing else to be done other than dealing it with the laws of HK. I don’t think the US has filed for extradition yet, so there is no point to even mentioning whether HK could/should grant Snowden asylum. HK gov’t should ignore whatever the US gov’t is saying regarding Snowden.

      I think it is rather sad to see how witless people have become the moment controversies run towards their direction. Perhaps they did not have any wits about them in the first place.

  2. km 說:

    both Regina Yip and CY Leung are not stupid. Other than urging him to leave HK, what else can they say in order not to embarass HK and Mainkand Authorities?

發表迴響

在下方填入你的資料或按右方圖示以社群網站登入:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / 變更 )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / 變更 )

Facebook照片

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / 變更 )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / 變更 )

連結到 %s