經濟歷史一手史料:歐洲下決心引發經濟崩潰

搜集一手史料是一件很有趣的事,尤其是當你發現你身處於時代的轉變當中,在看著「我們所知的世界的完結」的來臨。當然,從歷史的角度來看,「所知世界的完結」並不是世界末日,人類社會會生存下去,只不過是換了另一種形式罷了。正等於晉代「永嘉之禍」對當代人來説是一次「世界完結」事件,但歷史依然會繼續記下下一代人的發展和做出下一個愚蠢決定的整個過程。

閒話短說,歐洲議會為「解決」歐元區債務問題作出了協議,發出了“STATEMENT BY THE HEADS OF STATE OR GOVERNMENT OF THE EURO AREA AND EU INSTITUTIONS” (via Paul Krugman)。其中提出了以下:

All euro area Member States will adhere strictly to the agreed fiscal targets, improve competitiveness and address macro-economic imbalances. Public deficits in all countries except those under a programme will be brought below 3% by 2013 at the latest.

Paul Krugman的反應是:

OK, so we’re going to demand harsh austerity in the debt-crisis countries; and meanwhile, we’re also going to have austerity in the non-debt-crisis countries.

Plus, the ECB is raising rates.

So demand will be depressed in both crisis and non-crisis economies; this will lead to a vigorous recovery through … what?

The Serious People are determined to destroy all the advanced economies in the name of prudence.

Krugman博客中的評論者jeevmon對歐議會的方案作了這樣的終結:

1. Slash government spending in a depressed economy;
2. Reduce demand further by raising interest rates;
3. ?????
4. Recovery!

我很期待中國房地產泡沫的爆破。

http://wp.me/pXZbk-ts

This entry was posted in 經濟學, 政治與經濟, 歷史 and tagged , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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